Blogs

In this blog, we argue that the culture wars are likely to take on a new tenor as economic pressures - inflation, low growth, employment opportunities - return and fuse with cultural conflicts to give them a sharp, material edge. Over the course of this Bi_Focal series, we'll argue that these issues are - over and above views on race or conspiracy - deeply predictive of populist-right views across Western countries.

This week we’re back in the UK looking at another one of the minority parties -- the Green Party -- and the challenge posed to Labour's left flank. We find that the Greens are attracting a number of those who voted Labour in 2019 - particularly left-wingers disillusioned by Starmer’s move to the centre. But among other groups, there’s much less movement, and the Green Party still has a lot of work to do.

In this issue, we take a closer look at the prickly question of Biden's age. How will these concerns about Biden’s age shape the course of the election? The results from our investigation are below.

After Donald Trump’s succession of early primary victories, and Nikki Haley’s stinging loss in Nevada on Tuesday, a Biden-Trump rematch seems all but inevitable come November. The outcome of that contest, however, is far from certain.

We look at how campaigning on social issues creates super-majorities in ways that on economic issues is more difficult. And we ask what polling on voting intention this far out implies for the next general election.

We look at whether the rise of Reform UK poses an existential threat to Conservative Party and why people feel drawn to Reform in the first place.

From deploying a new AI product to more than doubling our polling volumes, 2023 has been a busy year at Focaldata.