I 'stress test' predictions of a Labour victory, using historically proven methods to see what they tell us about Conservative support.

I take a look at the impact of boundary changes in England, Wales and Scotland. At first it might seem that not much changes, but beneath the surface there’s a strong upside for the Conservative party. For those of you more interested in the politics of identity I also take a look at the latest census data on ethnicity and assimilation – some of the results may surprise you. 

People are pessimistic about the state of Britain. This week, I'm taking a look at who they blame, and what they think the fix might be. The trail leads to the declining electoral relevance of Brexit, and some research on the link between happiness and income.